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2003 Commercial Space Transportation Forecasts

By Smith, Phil

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Book Id: WPLBN0000692586
Format Type: PDF eBook
File Size: 1.26 MB
Reproduction Date: 2005

Title: 2003 Commercial Space Transportation Forecasts  
Author: Smith, Phil
Volume:
Language: English
Subject: Aviation, Federal Aviation Administration Command Center (U.S.), Mechanical engineering.
Collections: Space and Aviation eDocuments Collection
Historic
Publication Date:
Publisher: Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)

Citation

APA MLA Chicago

Smith, P. (n.d.). 2003 Commercial Space Transportation Forecasts. Retrieved from http://worldlibrary.org/


Excerpt
Excerpt: The Federal Aviation Administration?s Associate Administrator for Commercial Space Transportation (FAA/AST) licenses and regulates U.S. commercial space launch activity as authorized by Executive Order 12465 (Commercial Expendable Launch Vehicle Activities) and 49 United States Code Subtitle IX, Chapter 701 (formerly the Commercial Space Launch Act). AST?s mission is to license and regulate commercial launch operations to ensure public health and safety and the safety of property, and to protect national security and foreign policy interests of the United States. The Commercial Space Launch Act of 1984 and the 1996 National Space Policy also direct the Federal Aviation Administration to encourage, facilitate, and promote commercial launches.

Table of Contents
Table of Contents Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 Growth of Commercial Space Transportation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 About the COMSTAC 2003 Commercial Geosynchronous Launch Demand Model . . . . . . . . .3 About the FAA NGSO Commercial Space Transportation Forecast . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 Combined Satellite and Launch Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 COMSTAC 2003 Commercial Geosynchronous Orbit (GSO) Launch Demand Model . . . . . . . .7 Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 COMSTAC Demand Projection vs. Actual Launches Realized . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Factors That Affect Launch Realization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 2002 Space Industry Performance on Launch Demand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Projecting Actual Launches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 2003 Satellite Launch Demand Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Satellite Launch Mass Classes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Commercial GSO Satellite Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Industry Metrics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Future Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Comparison with Previous COMSTAC Demand Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 Launch Vehicle Demand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Factors That May Affect Future Demand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Appendix A. Use of the COMSTAC GSO Launch Demand Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Demand Model Defined . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Appendix B. Supplemental Questionnaire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Appendix C. Letter from the Associate Administrator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 Appendix D. Historical Launches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31 2003 Commercial Space Transportation Forecast for Non-Geosynchronous Orbits . . . . . . . .35 Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 NGSO Satellite Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 International Science and Other Payloads . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 Digital Audio Radio Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 Market Demand Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 Commercial Remote Sensing Satellites . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 DigitalGlobe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 ImageSat International . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 InfoTerra GmbH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 ORBIMAGE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 Radarsat International . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41 RapidEye AG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41 Resource21 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41 Space Imaging . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41 TransOrbital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42 Market Demand Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42

 

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