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Surface High-resolution Temperature Forecast in Southern Italy : Volume 6, Issue 1 (16/08/2011)

By Federico, S.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003989457
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 7
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Surface High-resolution Temperature Forecast in Southern Italy : Volume 6, Issue 1 (16/08/2011)  
Author: Federico, S.
Volume: Vol. 6, Issue 1
Language: English
Subject: Science, Advances, Science
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Historic
Publication Date:
2011
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications

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Avolio, E., Fusto, F., Federico, S., Bellecci, C., & Niccoli, R. (2011). Surface High-resolution Temperature Forecast in Southern Italy : Volume 6, Issue 1 (16/08/2011). Retrieved from http://worldlibrary.org/


Description
Description: ISAC-CNR, UOS of Lamezia Terme, Lamezia Terme (CZ), Italy. Since June 2008, 1-h temperature forecasts for the Calabria region (Southern Italy) are issued at 2.5 km horizontal resolution at CRATI/ISAC-CNR. Forecasts are available online at http://meteo.crati.it/previsioni.html (every 6-h). This paper shows the forecast performance out to three days for one climatological year (from 1 December 2008 to 30 November 2009, 365 run) for minimum, mean and maximum temperature. The forecast is evaluated against gridded analyses at the same horizontal resolution.

Gridded analysis is based on Optimal Interpolation (OI) and uses a de-trending technique for computing the background field. Observations from 87 thermometers are used in the analysis system.

In this paper cumulative statistics are shown to quantify forecast errors out to three days.


Summary
Surface high-resolution temperature forecast in southern Italy

Excerpt
Colacino, M.: Mediterranean Meteorology, in: Proceedings NATO-ASI, edited by: Charnock, H., Reports in Meteorology and Oceanography, 40, 1–38, 1990.; Cotton, W. R., Pielke Sr., R. A., Walko, R. L., Liston, G. E., Tremback, C. J., Jiang, H., McAnelly, R. L., Harrington, J. Y., Nicholls, M. E., Carrio, G. G., and McFadden, J. P.: RAMS 2001: Current status and future directions, Meteor. Atmos., Phys., 82, 5–29, 2003.; Federico, S.: Verification of surface minimum, mean, and maximum temperature forecasts in Calabria for summer 2008, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 487–500, doi:10.5194/nhess-11-487-2011, 2011.; Federico, S., Avolio, E., Pasqualoni, L., De Leo, L., Sempreviva, A. M., and Bellecci, C.: Preliminary results of a 30-year daily rainfall data base in southern Italy, Atmos. Research, 94, 641–651, doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2009.03.008, 2009.; Kalnay, E.: Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability, Cambridge University Press, 2003.; Lönnberg, P. and Hollingsworth, A.: The statistical structure of short-range forecast errors as determined from radiosonde data. Part II: The covariance of height and wind errors, Tellus, 38A, 137–161, 1986.; Mass, C. F., Albright, M., Ovens, D., and coauthors: Regional Environmental Prediction Over the Pacific Northwest, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 84(10), 1353–1366, 2003.; Lussana, C., Uboldi, F., and Salvati, M. R.: A spatial consistency test for surface observations from mesoscale meteorological networks, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136, 1075–1088, 2010.; Myrick, D. T. and Horel, J. H.: Verification of surface temperature from the National Digital Forecast Database over the western United States, Weather Forecast., 21, 869–892, 2006.; Myrick, D. T. and Horel, J. H.: Sensitivity of Surface Analyses over the Western United States to RAWS Observations, Weather Forecast., 23, 145–158, 2008.; Myrick, D. T., Horel, J. D., and Lazarus, S. M.: Local adjustment of the background error correlation for surface analyses over complex terrain, Weather Forecast., 20, 149–160, 2005.; Simpson, J. E.: Sea breeze and local winds, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994.; Sela, J. G.: The NMC Spectral Model, NOAA Tech. Rep. NWS-30, 36 pp., 1982.; Uboldi, F., Lussana, C., and Salvati, M: Three-dimensional spatial interpolation of surface meteorological observations from high-resolution local networks, Meteorol. Appl., 15, 331–345, 2008.

 

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